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Chart by the U.S. Geological Survey of earthquakes magnitude 6-8 from 1900 till 2007 |
I don't know exactly what I will be doing on December 21th, 2012, probably have a big party.
"Se non morimo se divertimo" or "If we will not die, we had fun"
Where will you be and what are you planning to do at this date?
Update:
In earlier comments I have investigated the death tolls since 1901, which I put in the graph below:
Modern record-keeping began in 1900.
The estimated death tolls per 10 years since 1901 in numbers:
1901-1910: 124,748 people
1911-1920: 266,584 people
1921-1930: 187,452 people
1931-1940: 95,042 people
1941-1950: 42,355 people
1951-1960: 16,723 people
1961-1970: 95,521 people
1971-1980: 319,180 people
1981-1990: 83,446 people
1991-2000: 62,821 people
2001-2010: 697,513 people
The average deaths per 10 years from 1901 till 2000 was 119,893 people.
So from 2001 till 2010 the earthquake death toll has been almost six times higher than the average in the last century.
One factor which explains the increase is surely the growth of the world's population:
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World Population Data Chart (1900-2050) Data source from UN.org |
If we incorporate this into the earlier figure the death toll due to earthquakes in the last decade it still triples the anticipated figure.
Sources:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_20th-century_earthquakes
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2011_Sendai_earthquake_and_tsunami
Or you could do a bit of research and realize that the link in your graph is for "earthquakes of historical interest" and not for all earthquakes. Recent earthquakes are of much more interest and are thus more heavily represented.
ReplyDeleteA link to *all* earthquakes, such as:
http://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/eqarchives/year/eqstats.php
Shows no such increase.
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@Anonymous:
ReplyDeleteThe link you mention is from the same website of U.S. Geological Survey which I studied and shows information about earthquakes from 2000 till 2011. On that page there's a similar link for the 90's. Unfortunately the website doesn't show data about earlier years.
Many people will not be aware that last year (2010) 226,729 people died from earthquakes.
This is almost the same figure as in the year of the Sumatra tsunami distaster, 2004. (228,802)
Such high death tolls never occured in the last century as as far as I am aware.
I don't know about your research, but to substantiate my viewpoint; the estimated global death toll due to earthquakes is the following:
2001-2010: 697,513 people
1991-2000: 62,821 people
More than an 11-fold increase.
Although I cannot find accurate data about the exact death toll in earlier decennia, it seems not to diverge very much from the 90's and is more or less proportional to the graph.
I rest my case and sweet dreams.
Update: Modern record-keeping began in 1900.
ReplyDeleteBelow more info on estimated death tolls per 10 years since 1901:
1901-1910: 124,748 people
1911-1920: 266,584 people
1921-1930: 187,452 people
1931-1940: 95,042 people
1941-1950: 42,355 people
1951-1960: 16,723 people
1961-1970: 95,521 people
1971-1980: 319,180 people
1981-1990: 83,446 people
1991-2000: 62,821 people
Average deaths/10 years 1901-2000:
119,893 people
2001-2010: 697,513 people
Sources:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_20th-century_earthquakes
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2011_Sendai_earthquake_and_tsunami
Damn - some sobering stats. Makes me want to get drunk or something. WTF is going on here lately?
ReplyDeleteThanks for commenting on my ThaiPulse blog I-Nomad. Finding yours full of great information. Thanks and cheers!
Hi Mike, perhaps the sun is having her red period every other 1000 years or something? :)
ReplyDeleteBtw thnx!
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